Five Things You Didn’t Know About Your ETFs
July 27, 2010
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Sometimes, analyzing ETFs is easy. Here's the latest example: Van Eck’s new local currency emerging markets bond ETF is just better than its competitors. Why? Because it fits my definition of what an ETF should do: Provide reliable, focused exposure to whatever asset class investors think they are buying. I'm not saying "Best ETF Ever!" or anything. I don’t actually agree with Rob Arnott’s assertion that there could be a “generational buying opportunity” in emerging market bonds [Editor's Note: Rob's view is predicated on renewed global weakness] . To my mind, there’s a good reason that emerging market bonds trade at a discount to developed market bonds. For all their growth and capital reserves, emerging market economies are exposed to tremendous social and political risk. Many also have undiversified, extraction-based economies that could run into trouble if and when commodity prices come down. Witness Russia a few years ago when oil prices fell to $35/barrel: The Russian “miracle” started looking like a curse pretty darn quick. Still, I can see the argument, and I also see this: Any investor who wants to bet on emerging market bonds ought to do it with Van Eck’s ETF (NYSEArca: EMLC), assuming the fund attracts sufficient liquidity to trade well in the open market. Area #1: Emerging Markets Currency returns are a key driver of the diversification benefit that makes investing overseas valuable. Buying dollar-denominated emerging market bonds—as the $1.8 billion iShares JPMorgan USD Emerging Markets Bond (NYSEArca: EMB) and the $700 million PowerShares Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF (NYSEArca: PCY)—is like sky-diving with a bungee cord. If you’re going to take the leap, you ought to do it all the way. In fact, I think the vast majority of investors in EMB and PCY think they are buying local currency exposure. That’s what we’re used to in stocks, where currency returns are a key driver in funds like the iShares Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: EEM). But thinking about EMLC got me thinking about other places where investors don’t get the exposure they think they’re getting with ETFs. There are at least a dozen areas where investors get bamboozled. I lay out four more below. Area #2: Corporate Debt Do investors in corporate bond ETFs realize they are allocating more of their money to the most heavily indebted companies? I would say no. My guess is that the majority of investors in LQD and similar funds think they’re buying bond exposure to large-cap, S&P 500-level companies, weighted, more or less, along the same lines of the S&P 500. How many investors in the iShares iBOXX $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund (NYSEArca: LQD) realize their top holding is Verizon (NYSE: VZ), not Exxon, Apple or Microsoft? I would say very few. Modern corporate bond indexes are built in a counterintuitive manner, and investors who don’t take the time to figure this out could be very surprised by the pattern of returns they receive. Area #3: Crude Oil We’ve covered this one to death, but I still think many investors in the United States Oil Fund (NYSEArca: USO) think they’re buying exposure to spot oil prices and not to oil futures. As this chart shows, those are two dramatically different things.
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September 09, 2010
Capitalist Cop: How To Lie With Statistics Look both ways when you come across numbers, the Capitalist Cop warns. -
September 09, 2010
ETF Data Daily: XLE Gathers $169.7 Million XLE and other SPDR sector ETFs gain assets on a day of subdued creations and redemptions. -
September 08, 2010
Is ETF Performance Enough To Survive? My zombie ETF list elicited a howl of protest from investors, sponsors and supporters of many of the funds I said were at risk of closing. -
September 08, 2010
Boiling Point: Right Back Where We Started After all the Fed has done, only some asset prices are back to where they were at the start of this Great Recession, and that can’t be good. -
September 08, 2010
ETF Data Daily: $2.65 Billion Into SPY The world’s biggest ETF, SPY, gathered assets on a day the stock market fell.
Is ETF Performance Enough To Survive?
My zombie ETF list elicited a howl of protest from investors, sponsors and supporters of many of the funds I said were at risk of closing.Are ETFs A Better Market Than NAV?
Sometimes it takes a big flashlight to illuminate something as murky as ETF spreads.-
S&P Launches Equal-Weighted GSCI Index
September 09, 2010 12:07 pm -
Janus Joins ETF Fray With Active Fund Filing
September 07, 2010 9:17 am -
PowerShares Plans Financial, REIT ETFs
September 07, 2010 12:16 pm -
Vanguard Trumps iShares In Adviser Loyalty
September 03, 2010 11:02 am -
Claymore Plans Target-Date Junk ETF Lineup
September 02, 2010 4:08 pm
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